我是靠谱客的博主 谨慎香水,最近开发中收集的这篇文章主要介绍lstm预测模型_Python实现多变量序列堆叠式LSTM模型,并实现未来多时刻预测,觉得挺不错的,现在分享给大家,希望可以做个参考。

概述

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     在时间序列相关的很多建模工作中,LSTM模型是经常会使用到的,从提出到现在LSTM模型已经有了很多的扩展、变种和应用,今天我们简单地实现基于LSTM模型来对多个变量的数据进行建模预测,在简单地预测中只能做单步预测,这里实现了多步的预测分析。

       具体实现如下:

#!usr/bin/env python#encoding:utf-8from __future__ import division  '''__Author__:沂水寒城功能:基于堆叠式LSTM神经网络的多变量序列预测模型'''  import osimport jsonimport sysimport mathimport timeimport kerasimport randomimport pymysqlimport datetimeimport platformimport numpy as npimport pandas as pdfrom keras.utils import plot_modelfrom  keras.layers.pooling import MaxPooling1Dfrom keras.layers import LSTM,Dense,Input,add,Flattenimport matplotlib.pyplot as pltfrom keras.models import Sequential,Modelfrom sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler,LabelBinarizer,LabelEncoder,Imputerfrom keras.layers.core import Activation,Dropout,Dense,Flattenfrom sklearn.model_selection import train_test_splitfrom scipy.stats import pearsonr,spearmanr,kendalltau from keras.callbacks import EarlyStopping,ModelCheckpoint,Callbackfrom keras.layers.normalization import  BatchNormalization  from keras.optimizers import SGD, Adadelta, Adagrad,RMSprop  from keras.layers.advanced_activations import PReLU  from utils import predictFuturefrom sklearn.metrics import explained_variance_score, mean_absolute_error, mean_squared_error, r2_scorefrom keras.layers.convolutional import Conv1D,ZeroPadding1D,Conv2D,MaxPooling2D,AveragePooling2D,Convolution2D,ZeroPadding2Dfrom keras.layers import Dense, Dropout, Embedding, LSTM, Bidirectionalfrom keras.layers import TimeDistributed     def sliceWindow(data,step):    '''    移动滑窗创建数据集    '''    X,y=[],[]    for i in range(0,len(data)-step,1):        end=i+step        oneX,oney=data[i:end,:],data[end, :]        X.append(oneX)        y.append(oney)    return np.array(X),np.array(y)  def dataSplit(dataset,step):    '''    数据集分割    '''    datasetX,datasetY=sliceWindow(dataset,step)    train_size=int(len(datasetX)*0.70)    X_train,y_train=datasetX[0:train_size,:],datasetY[0:train_size,:]    X_test,y_test=datasetX[train_size:len(datasetX),:],datasetY[train_size:len(datasetX),:]    X_train=X_train.reshape(X_train.shape[0],step,-1)    X_test=X_test.reshape(X_test.shape[0],step,-1)    print('X_train.shape: ',X_train.shape)    print('X_test.shape: ',X_test.shape)    print('y_train.shape: ',y_train.shape)    print('y_test.shape: ',y_test.shape)    return X_train,X_test,y_train,y_test  def seq2seqModel(X,step):    '''    序列到序列堆叠式LSTM模型    '''    model=Sequential()    model.add(LSTM(256, activation='relu', return_sequences=True,input_shape=(step,X.shape[2])))    model.add(LSTM(256, activation='relu'))    model.add(Dense(X.shape[2]))    model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse')    return model     if __name__=='__main__':    #数据集加载    with open('dataset.txt') as f:        data_list=[one.strip().split(',') for one in f.readlines()[1:] if one]    dataset=[]    for i in range(len(data_list)):        dataset.append([float(O) for O in data_list[i][1:]])    dataset=np.array(dataset)    step=7    X_train,X_test,y_train,y_test=dataSplit(dataset,step)    model=seq2seqModel(X_train,step)    model.fit(X_train,y_train,epochs=50,verbose=0)     # test=[    #       [30.0,58.0,7.0,24.0,0.9,83.0,103.0],    #       [43.0,72.0,6.0,23.0,1.1,85.0,103.0],    #       [66.0,105.0,6.0,22.0,1.3,134.0,103.0],    #       [54.0,94.0,7.0,27.0,1.1,125.0,103.0],    #       [64.0,90.0,6.0,19.0,1.2,127.0,103.0],    #       [59.0,92.0,6.0,20.0,1.1,126.0,103.0],    #       [61.5,91.0,6.0,19.5,1.15,134.0,103.0]    #      ]    # #真实值   [38.0,66.0,5.0,17.0,1.2,138.0,103.0]    # test=np.array(test)    # test=test.reshape((1,step,7))    # y_pre=model.predict(test,verbose=0)    # print('y_pre: ',y_pre)      future=predictFuture(model,dataset,7,step,60)     for one in future:        print('one: ',one)      dataset=[]    for i in range(len(data_list)):        dataset.append([float(O) for O in data_list[i][1:]])    D1=[one[0] for one in dataset]    D2=[one[0] for one in future]    plt.plot(list(range(len(D1))),D1,label='F1 True')    plt.plot(list(range(len(D1),len(D1)+len(D2))),D2,label='F1 Future Predict')    plt.legend()    plt.title('Data True and Predict Cruve')    plt.savefig('demo.png')

我们在代码中提供了单个样本的测试样例,如下所示:

9336d214e23f29caea38f425c4b028fa.png

测结果如下:

edee5804f8407997b9c0fc64b71a0e86.png

 接下来我们基于滚动预测对未来60个时刻的数据进行了预测分析,部分输出截图如下:

25f85301b7e99c9be5ce982f36f1ab04.png

为了对比分析,我们绘制了原始数据曲线和预测的数据曲线,如下图所示:

0050b54218512737806e82c4ad9705b6.png

最后

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